Last month, the Government of Canada released its 2023 Fall Economic Statement, an annual fiscal report that provides an update on the state of the Canadian economy and the government’s plans for future spending. This year’s statement had a strong focus on ways to tackle Canada’s housing affordability and supply crisis.
The statement revealed plans to allocate billions of dollars to increasing housing affordability and accessibility across the country, including the creation of more public housing, incentives for developers to build much-needed rental inventory, measures to reduce short-term rentals as well as recommendations for financial institutions to provide Canadian borrowers with mortgage relief options upon renewal.
Urgent need to address housing shortage for first-time buyers and middle-income earners
While it is imperative to ensure low-income residents have access to public and affordable housing options, millennials — the largest portion of our population — are also greatly impacted by the current housing crisis. It has become increasingly difficult for young Canadians with decent-paying jobs to afford a home without financial assistance from parents or family. While the proposed measures in this statement are a positive step forward, there remains an urgent need to address the lack of housing supply for first-time buyers and middle-income earners.
With the rising cost of living coupled with continued interest rate increases in 2023, many Canadians are feeling the pressure of financial stress when it comes to their ability to purchase a home and/or manage mortgage payments. While it is encouraging to see that the government is working to address the ongoing challenges buyers, sellers and homeowners are facing in the current economic climate, further measures are required to increase housing supply in the short- and medium-term.
Steps in the right direction, despite need to curb inflation
Incentivizing developers to build more homes at a faster rate — specifically purpose-built rental stock — is a promising step in the right direction. In addition to its plans to encourage developers to build thousands more rental units, the federal government announced new limitations on tax deductions for landlords of short-term rental properties, as well as funding to help municipalities crack down on offenders in regions where the practice is prohibited. While these measures are intended to open up more inventory for longer-term rental contracts and increase the number of properties for sale, they are unlikely to have a material impact on supply, especially in major cities where inventory is most needed.
The Liberal government drew criticism from opposition parties and the central bank for announcing additional spending at a time when the country should be focused on reducing inflation. While bringing inflation under control is important, it’s also critical to prioritize access to affordable housing for all Canadians. With aggressive immigration targets and increasing household formation, it is essential to focus efforts on the creation of more homes. Supply remains decidedly out of step with demand, even if many would-be buyers remain temporarily sidelined. Home prices are poised to appreciate further when interest rates inevitably begin to come down.
Overall, we are pleased to see a strong commitment from the government to address the supply side of the ongoing housing affordability crisis. Although there are concerns about additional spending causing further inflationary pressures, the emphasis on creating affordable rental housing and incentivizing developers is crucial. It is my hope that the Canadian government continues to tackle the severe supply shortage, and prioritizes addressing the lack of affordable homes for middle-income Canadians.
The feds can easily temper demand by slowing immigration until the Country is in a position to accommodate a larger population. This is a self inflicted problem. But alas they are so deep in debt they need a larger population to find the money they need. Governments could easily put programs in place right now that would help some of the issues. The Liberals are a joke. I was in a meeting with one of the Liberal Ministers. He said flat out, ” The Trudeau Government plans to eliminate homelessness in three years.” That was 2020! Homelessness has only gotten worse. Illustrates the Trudeau Administration. All talk no action. Well except thinking they can spend their way out. That plan has never worked. Just like the gambler thinking everything will be good once I cash in on my next big bet. Trends will change and immigration patterns may just move in a different direction, leaving Canada high and dry. The world is a volatile planet. One cannot plan on what might happen in the next decade. As for real estate values? They can only continue on a downward trend and as employment becomes more of an issue in 2024 we will see things only get worse. If you think the pubic is aware of what is really going on, think again. A slow real estate market trickles down into many facets of the economy. Banks have been quietly laying off employees since the beginning of the year. In one week retailors will be having fire sales when it becomes apparent that consumers will not be spending this Christmas season. Facts are Governments today to too little too late as they cater to the deep pockets that keep them in office.
Now, what I noticed, the rental market is not an issue. Rental buildings already started offering incentives, but will not lower the prices yet. I believe it’s coming. Last statistic from immigration is around 30% are actually leaving the country due to unaffordability. This is not what they have been promised and sign up for. They collect the cheques from the Gov and leave. Nice free trip:)
High cost of shelter, food draw them out.
Create a problem then try to fix it.
This is nothing new with this government. A dog chasing his tale.