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Locked out: Why Gen Z faces an uphill battle to homeownership

The housing affordability crisis is a product of long-standing economic and societal dynamics, deeply influenced by generational behaviors. 

Baby Boomers, often reluctant to downsize or transition to retirement communities, have indirectly contributed to limited housing inventory. This reluctance grew during the COVID-19 pandemic, as these facilities became perceived as high-risk environments. 

While Downsizing was once considered a viable option for older generations, it no longer provides the financial benefits it once did. Statistics Canada estimates 14 per cent of Canadians 65 and older still have mortgages on their homes. Once accounting for Realtor commissions, mortgages and other debts, the disposal equity to buy another home is not the same as it was five years ago.

For instance, a semi-detached home in Toronto averages $980,000, while a condominium costs $615,250, per CREA’s Q3 2024 data. After factoring in selling costs and associated fees, even downsizing doesn’t leave much left for retirement. With life expectancy increasing—Canadians now live, on average, 16 years longer than their parents—retirees face the daunting task of stretching these funds across two decades or more.

 

Inheriting an unequal landscape

 

This stagnation in housing mobility means that essential inventory remains locked up, making it increasingly difficult for Gen Z to either inherit or purchase homes from their grandparents or parents. As a result, Gen Z finds themselves in a precarious situation. They are likely to endure higher debt-to-income ratios compared to their predecessors, which complicates the path to home ownership.

Statistics Canada reports that while those under 35 are reducing their mortgage debt through frugality and sacrifices in discretionary spending, such behaviours also suppress broader economic growth in sectors like travel and dining.

Generational wealth—or the lack thereof—further compounds the issue. Without financial support from parents or grandparents, who may not have built enough equity or wealth, many Gen Z individuals must rely solely on their earnings to create wealth and assets—a far more daunting task in today’s economy.

 

How the financialization of housing is worsening the crisis

 

Another major hurdle for Gen Z is the financialization of housing. Baby Boomers make up a quarter of the population and own approximately 41 per cent of the homes in Canada, according to Statistics Canada, and increasingly view properties as investment opportunities rather than places to live. 

The Canadian Human Rights Commission identifies this trend as a key driver of rising housing prices. Landlords converting properties into rentals reduce the supply of homes for sale while rising rents further strain younger generations trying to save for a down payment.

Immigration patterns also contribute to the housing crisis, as landlords and investors purchase properties and convert them into rental units, popular with students and transient populations. This not only diminishes the stock of homes available for purchase, it also places upward pressure on rents, making it an uphill battle for Gen Z and even millennials struggling to enter the housing market.

 

Inflation and stagnant wages are a double whammy for Gen Z

 

 

Inflation rates have surged over the past decade, reaching cumulative levels of 32 per cent, according to Statistics Canada. This trend has eroded the purchasing power of younger generations, who also face stagnating wage growth. For instance, wages increased by just 9 per cent between 1973 and 2013, while the cost of living soared disproportionately.

Despite these obstacles, many in Gen Z approach their situation with a sense of humour and resilience, often accepting the possibility that home ownership may be out of reach. This acknowledgment, paired with the ongoing life expectancy of baby boomers, implies that younger generations like Gen Alpha may inherit not only the challenges but also the wealth that their predecessors have struggled to accumulate.

The question remains: will society learn from these experiences, or are we destined to repeat the mistakes of the past?  Only by fostering meaningful dialogue and enacting inclusive policies can we ensure a sustainable housing market for generations to come.

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