In the Greater Toronto Area’s (GTA) housing market, July 2024 tells a story of resurgence and adjustment. A previously stagnant market is now starting to revive, with home sales increasing by 3.3 per cent, reaching 5,391 transactions compared to last July’s 5,220.
This renewed activity is highlighted by an 18.5 per cent rise in new listings from the previous year, providing prospective buyers with more options. However, the revival also reveals contrasting elements — as supply grows and choices expand, the average selling price sees a slight decline, reflecting the complex dynamics between supply, demand and market pressures.
Across these shifts, the condominium sector presents its own scenario, with rental demand rising but being outpaced by an influx of new listings, resulting in more choices and slightly lower rents for tenants.
Significantly more listings helped boost supply and drop prices
July 2024’s GTA home sales rebounded from a previous stagnation and suggest a gradually recovering market. This increase in sales was matched by a significant rise in new listings with 16,293 in July, representing an 18.5 per cent increase compared to the same time last year.
Clearly, there is an improved market supply, which helps to keep up with demand as prospective buyers have a much larger array of choices available.
Source: TRREB
Despite the rise in both sales and new listings last month, the GTA’s average selling price declined by 5.0 per cent year-over-year. Reported at $1,106,617, it marked a 0.9 per cent (over $10,000) decrease from the $1,116,950 recorded in July 2023. The reduction in prices can be attributed to the increased inventory which has helped decrease demand pressure on the housing market.
Source: TRREB
Condominium sales and rentals
With this in mind, the GTA’s condominium market had mixed results. Condominium rentals experienced a substantial increase in Q2 2024 with 17,400 rentals compared to 13,896 rentals in Q2 2023. This was a 25.2 per cent increase, but the number of new condominium rental listings rose even more significantly, up by 51.3 per cent year-over-year.
Source: TRREB
Despite the higher demand for rental accommodations, tenants have benefited from increased choice and slightly lower average rents. On average, a one-bedroom condominium apartment in Q2 2024 rented for $2,452, reflecting a 3.1 per cent decline from the $2,529 average rent in Q2 2023. Similarly, the average rent for a two-bedroom condominium was down by 1.9 per cent to $3,178 from $3,239 in the previous year.
Although there was a substantial increase in condominium rentals, condominium sales dropped to 5,474 in Q2 2024 from 6,824 in Q2 2023, a 19.8 per cent decrease. In contrast, the number of new listings surged by 36.5 per cent year-over-year, reaching 16,917. The average selling price of condominium apartments in Q2 2024 was $729,005 a slight drop from $737,925 at the same time in 2023.
Source: TRREB
Toronto reported a 0.5 per cent decrease in its average selling price of $765,963, while Durham has one of the GTA’s lowest condominium sales and lowest average prices in Q2 2024.
As we look at the GTA’s housing market for mid-2024, the combination of rising transactions and falling prices reflects a market in transition. A 3.3 per cent increase in home sales alongside a 5.0 per cent decrease in average prices highlights the balance between growing supply and moderated demand.
In the condominium sector, we’re seeing a similar trend — a significant rise in rentals contrasting with declining sales and a notable increase in new listings. This evolving market presents both opportunities and challenges, indicating that while recovery is underway, the future will be complex and multifaceted. Our 2024 housing market is more than just numbers; it illustrates the dynamic interaction of economic forces, buyer sentiment, and strategic adjustments.
Daniel Foch and Nick Hill are co-hosts of The Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast. Daniel Foch, a real estate broker and analyst, is frequently featured in major media and has advised on over $1BN in real estate transactions, focusing on affordable housing. Nick Hill, a real estate investor and mortgage agent, has a background in business, commercial real estate and startups, working with investors and developers across Canada.
Month over month
Year over year
Seasonally adjusted vs unadjusted
Smoothed /annualized vs unadjusted
The combination of these comparisons leads to confusion not increased insight.
May I suggest a return to first principles
Cover your local market intensely and based on your own experiences in the field.
The newspaper and Bank-owned pundits cannot speak to that specificity – they are locked into the CREA data and other national HPI indicies creators